J.P. Morgan Payments

Latin America's new landscape

3 minute read
 

Trends Watch

Latin America is not a homogeneous block. It is a tapestry of different political environments, economies and cultures, all with their own nuances. This has created a diverse payments landscape. For example, Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) is popular in Argentina, account-to-account transfers lead the way in Brazil, Colombians are increasingly adopting digital wallets, and debit cards are on the rise in Chile. 

Still, there are some major trends impacting the whole region. One of the most important is the expansion of instant payments schemes, giving millions of consumers access to fast, low-cost money transfers.1,2 Another is a rapid expansion in mobile payments, which has caused a boom in e-commerce. Smartphones now account for two-thirds of online retail transactions in the region.3  Finally, a LATAM-wide wave of regulatory reforms has helped spur the development of fintech sectors. Mexico, Brazil and Chile have all taken significant steps to adapt their regulatory frameworks to embrace the digital financial era.4

As macro trends meet local contexts, key shifts are emerging to which businesses and professionals need to adapt...

1
Mexico
Emerging as a major fintech hub

In 2023, there were more than 770 fintech start-ups in Mexico representing growth of 18.9 percent year-on-year. If this steep curve continues, Mexico could soon challenge Brazil as the leading regional fintech hub. One key reason for Mexico’s success is its geographic location, near to Texas and California, which has made it a go-to for fintechs that want to be close to these key US innovation centers and their high concentrations of ideas, expertise and venture capital. At the same time, Mexico remains closely tied culturally to Latin America, which makes it a popular gateway for new companies targeting the LATAM market.  

2
Colombia
Digital wallets surging

Adoption of digital wallets in Colombia has surged from 27 million8 active users in 2021 to around 55 million9 in 2023. This rapid expansion has been driven by economic growth, widespread smartphone ownership and Colombia’s historically large unbanked population10. Popular mobile wallets such as Nequi and Davivienda allow people to easily set up online accounts via their phone and then start making free digital payments. As users never have to visit a branch, it is an effective and popular solution for those previously without bank accounts.   

3
Brazil
Real-time payments boosting financial inclusion 

 Brazil is making rapid progress when it comes to financial inclusion. Today, 84 percent of Brazilians have a bank account, compared to 70 percent in 2017,5 which means an extra 30 million people now have access to the financial system. For comparison, the average banking rate around the world is 76 percent.6 An important reason for Brazil’s transformation has been the success of Pix, which enables free, real-time, account-to-account transactions between consumers, businesses and government. The system now eclipses credit and debit cards, processing 8.1 billion transactions in Q1 2023 alone, which has incentivised the adoption of bank accounts.7   

4
Chile
Leading the way in debit cards 

Debit cards now account for 81 percent of payments in Chile, the highest in the region.14 This is thanks to ever-increasing penetration of CuentaRUT, a “universal” debit card from BancoEstado, Chile’s public bank, that anyone with an identity card can apply for online regardless of income or balance.15,16 Approximately 70 percent of the population are cardholders, and it is a major reason why tap-and-pay has notably high penetration rates in the country.17  This shift happens against the backdrop of non-cash payments overtaking cash for the first time as the dominant way to pay in the LATAM region, according to new research from McKinsey.18 

5
Argentina
Inflation worries spurring BNPL growth

Argentina has been innovative in digital payments (it is home to one of the leading payments providers in LATAM, Mercado Pago), and is currently seeing rapid growth in its buy now pay later (BNPL) market. The sector is expected to increase at a compound annual growth rate of 27.8 percent until 2029.11 BNPL is particularly popular in Argentina as customers use installment payments to protect against high inflation. In 2023, inflation was 211 percent,12 so being able to pay for goods in interest-free installments results in savings: it effectively allows consumers to lock in a price today which will be cheaper tomorrow. Although Argentina’s new government has committed to dollarizing the economy,13 which could bring down inflation, BNPL is expected to remain strong, as even if inflation is reduced, it is expected to remain high by international standards.  

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SOURCES: WWW.JPMORGAN.COM/PAYMENTS-UNBOUND/SOURCES

ILLUSTRATION: JOE WALDRON